Prediction Markets Price Geopolitical Risk: A 45.5% Signal and the CFTC Elephant in the Room
On-chain metrics > Twitter polls. A single data point from a decentralized...
Security
•
Ivytoshi
•
2026-07-20
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$65,439.7
+1.57%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,906.01
+2.34%
SOL
Solana
$78.01
+2.71%
BNB
BNB Chain
$571.9
+0.47%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.12
+2.28%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0724
+0.28%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1717
+3.62%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.62
+3.11%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.8314
+1.94%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.61
+3.06%
Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Trending
💡 Smart Money
0x3f6a...4b7e
Top DeFi Miner
+$5.0M
93%
0xcd28...5464
Institutional Custody
+$0.6M
69%
0xef37...43e0
Arbitrage Bot
+$3.4M
94%
#On-Chain Metrics
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Fear & Greed
29
Fear
Market Sentiment
Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$65,439.7 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,906.01 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$78.01 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$571.9 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.12 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0724 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1717 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.62 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8314 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.61 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x9c11...7de6
2m ago
In
3,813 ETH
🔴
0xccf2...0713
1h ago
Out
2,096 ETH
🟢
0x17fb...d315
12h ago
In
42,161 SOL